THE BAKKEN, A SNAPSHOT FROM 40 000 FEET AS OF END 2020
NOTE, this article is split into two parts. The first part, the main body (5 500 words [includes text for charts and tables]), presents this analysis’s results. The second part, supplemental information and documentation (3 000 words [includes text for charts), lists data sources, describes methods, abbreviations, acronyms, and some of the terms used in…
The Prices of USD, Oil, and U.S. Fiscal and Monetary Policies
Oil is priced in U.S. Dollar (USD or US$); therefore, the oil price becomes strongly linked to fluctuations to the strengths and weaknesses of the USD. The USD is the world’s dominant reserves currency, and changes to its exchange rate are closely linked to the monetary policies of the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed in…
Bakken, Something About EURs, PDP Reserves and R over P Ratio
Proven reliable methods on the Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR) for any well (or other agreed parameter like EUR for the average well of specified vintage populations for plays, fields, companies or other) is crucial to make estimates on remaining Proven Developed Producing (PDP) and Proven UnDeveloped (PUD) reserves which are the linchpins for assets backed…
The Price of Oil
Crude oil is the world’s biggest and most important traded commodity. In some earlier articles, like this and this, I explored for relations between the oil price, the world’s credit creation and interest rates. This is a continuation of my exploration of how the world’s credit creation affects the structural level of the oil price.…
More on LTO Economics in the Bakken
The goal for any commercial company is to make as high as possible profit and returns on invested (employed) capital, primarily the owners’ capital, equity. Light Tight Oil (LTO) extraction from the Bakken and Three Forks formations in North Dakota had a new high of 1,17 Mbo/d in Apr-18 according to data published in Jun-18…
The Powers of Fossil Fuels, an Update with Data per 2017
This post is an update and small expansion of The Powers of Fossil Fuels spanning more than two centuries of the history of the world’s energy, primarily fossil fuels (FF), consumption. Between 2002 and 2017 world energy consumption grew with about 39%, world Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 130% and world total debts by more than…
World Crude Oil Supplies per July 2017
In this post I present developments in world crude oil (including condensates) supplies since January 2007 and per July 2017. In this post the world crude oil (inclusive condensates) supplies is split into three entities, North America [Canada, Mexico and the US], OPEC(13) and other Non OPEC [World – {North America + OPEC(13)}] with a…
A little on the Profitability of the Bakken(ND)
In the first part of this post I present an update on the profitability for Light Tight Oil (LTO) extraction in the Bakken (ND) as one big project. This is followed with economic life cycle analysis for the average LTO well of the 2014, 2015 and 2016 vintages in the Bakken. This analysis found that…
Developments in Energy Consumption and Private and Public Debt per 2016
For some time I have explored the relations in developments for total debt [private and public], interest rates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) energy consumption and thus also the oil price. My theory has been that there are relations between changes to total debt and energy consumption and thus energy prices. Changes to total credit/debt should…
Norwegian Crude Oil Reserves And Extraction per 2016
In this post I present actual Norwegian crude oil extraction and status on the development in discoveries and reserves and what this has now resulted in for expectations for future Norwegian crude oil extraction. This post is also an update of an earlier post about Norwegian crude oil reserves and production per 2015. Norwegian crude…
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Fractional Flow 